Overview Structural Shift Human Capital Institutions
A Macro Perspective

Pathways to Global Prosperity

Economic development is more than GDP growth. It is the structural transformation of economies, the accumulation of human capital, and the evolution of robust institutions that elevate living standards globally.

0B
Global Population
$0T
Global GDP (Nominal)
0%
Extreme Poverty Rate

Global Productivity Growth (1990-2025)

+214% Trend

The Structural Shift

The classic Lewis model defines development as the reallocation of labor from low-productivity agriculture to high-productivity manufacturing and services. This dual-sector transition is the engine of rapid economic growth.

Industrialization & Productivity

Historically, manufacturing has demonstrated unconditionally convergent labor productivity. Moving workers off the farm and into the factory creates immediate output gains, driving urbanization and the accumulation of physical capital.

  • Economies of scale
  • Technological spillover
  • Export-led growth models

Labor Distribution Trajectory

Low Income
Middle Income
High Income
Agriculture
Industry
Services

Human Capital

Long-run endogenous growth is driven by ideas and innovation. This requires immense investment in humanity: primarily through robust health systems and quality education.

Healthcare Infrastructure

A healthy workforce is a productive workforce. Reductions in child mortality and managing endemic diseases directly correlate with increased GDP per capita and foreign direct investment.

Educational Attainment

Moving from primary to secondary and tertiary education shifts an economy toward the technological frontier, enabling adaptation of foreign tech and indigenous innovation.

The Demographic Dividend

When fertility rates drop, the ratio of working-age adults to dependents surges. If paired with job creation, this provides a massive but temporary window for accelerated economic growth.

The Role of Institutions

Capital and labor alone cannot explain extreme disparities in wealth. "Institutions are the rules of the game in a society" (North, 1990) and are the fundamental cause of long-run economic growth.

Extractive Economics
& Inclusive Politics
(Unstable Transition)
Inclusive Economics
& Inclusive Politics
Sustained Prosperity
Extractive Economics
& Extractive Politics
Poverty Trap
Inclusive Economics
& Extractive Politics
(Authoritarian Growth)
Economic Institutions
Political Institutions

Property Rights & Contracts

Without secure property rights and unbiased enforcement of contracts, individuals will not invest, innovate, or engage in complex trade. Extractive institutions centralize wealth and inhibit the creative destruction necessary for growth.

Rule of Law

Protects investment & IP

Market Entry

Busts monopolies, spurs competition